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Posts: 2601
Location: Carolina Beach
Location: Carolina Beach
Tue Sep 05, 2017 10:11 pm
I am currently working in Ft. Lauderdale and we will be evacuating Friday.
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
Posts: 12377
Location: Cape Fear, NC
Location: Cape Fear, NC
Wed Sep 06, 2017 5:19 am
God Bless the USA!
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Captain Dave Tilley
910-264-3973
Let\'s go kill something!
Carolina Beach Fishing Charters
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Captain Dave Tilley
910-264-3973
Let\'s go kill something!
Carolina Beach Fishing Charters
Posts: 688
Location: Raleigh/Surf City
Location: Raleigh/Surf City
Wed Sep 06, 2017 5:20 am
| lwr37 wrote: |
| I am currently working in Ft. Lauderdale and we will be evacuating Friday. |
Larry, don't bring Irma with you!!!!
Be safe brother.
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Grady White Sailfish 282 w/ Yamaha 250s
Posts: 2601
Location: Carolina Beach
Location: Carolina Beach
Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:18 am
| baytro23 wrote: | ||
Larry, don't bring Irma with you!!!! Be safe brother. |
Thanks! I will be.
This mornings forecast looks even worst for S Florida. I'd like to stay for the Hurricane parties but I have to be in DC Monday for a job. I have a crew working in S Florida and they will be evacuating until it passes. Hopefully the hotel fairs well. Its ocean front.
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
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Posts: 605
Location: The LA
Location: The LA
Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:43 am
NC/SC might not be out of the woods yet. The two major models are now keeping the eye offshore or just a glancing blow with South Florida, then over the open ocean straight North into us. This one should not be taken for granted folks.
Posts: 382
Location: Jacksonville
Location: Jacksonville
Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:51 am
| jasonafox wrote: |
| NC/SC might not be out of the woods yet. The two major models are now keeping the eye offshore or just a glancing blow with South Florida, then over the open ocean straight North into us. This one should not be taken for granted folks. |
I agree with you. We certainly aren't out of the woods on this one yet. One little jog to starboard and we'll be looking down the barrel again.
Posts: 652
Location: Carolina Beach
Location: Carolina Beach
Wed Sep 06, 2017 9:10 am
NHC is being very cautious in changing its guidance, I think it's political, they don't want to say it's missing FL and have everyone relax and then change back again.
All the other major models have it turning early, skirting FL and tracking to either the SC/GA line or the NC/SC line for landfall.
Obviously if it follows the few models that show the more northerly track SENC takes the NE corner of the storm full on which would be devastating to us unless the shear from the trough that's steering it northward takes a lot of power from Irma.
48 hours will tell us a lot.
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Steve in Carolina Beach
Contender 25 200 Verados
Contender 23 - SOLD
All the other major models have it turning early, skirting FL and tracking to either the SC/GA line or the NC/SC line for landfall.
Obviously if it follows the few models that show the more northerly track SENC takes the NE corner of the storm full on which would be devastating to us unless the shear from the trough that's steering it northward takes a lot of power from Irma.
48 hours will tell us a lot.
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Steve in Carolina Beach
Contender 25 200 Verados
Contender 23 - SOLD
Posts: 2601
Location: Carolina Beach
Location: Carolina Beach
Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:18 am
The latest from NWS Marine Portal. Not looking good for FL. We may have to leave earlier than expected...
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
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Location: The LA
Location: The LA
Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:20 am
| stevehes wrote: |
| NHC is being very cautious in changing its guidance, I think it's political, they don't want to say it's missing FL and have everyone relax and then change back again.
All the other major models have it turning early, skirting FL and tracking to either the SC/GA line or the NC/SC line for landfall. Obviously if it follows the few models that show the more northerly track SENC takes the NE corner of the storm full on which would be devastating to us unless the shear from the trough that's steering it northward takes a lot of power from Irma. 48 hours will tell us a lot. |
The 5pm update will have new runs of the models incorporated,and I'm thinking the cone is going to move further east.
Sure wish I-140 was open all the way around.....and gas is already scarce.
Every hack politician and land developer that sabotaged the Cape Fear Skyway needs to stay their greedy asses behind until EVERYONE else gets out of town.
Posts: 709
Location: Elm City
Location: Elm City
Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:39 am
| lwr37 wrote: |
| The latest from NWS Marine Portal. Not looking good for FL. We may have to leave earlier than expected... |
Larry, y'all be safe down there.👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
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LookinToHookem
Albemarle 247 Express
www.militaryappreciationday.net
Posts: 916
Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:04 pm
| jasonafox wrote: | ||
The 5pm update will have new runs of the models incorporated,and I'm thinking the cone is going to move further east. Sure wish I-140 was open all the way around.....and gas is already scarce. Every hack politician and land developer that sabotaged the Cape Fear Skyway needs to stay their greedy asses behind until EVERYONE else gets out of town. |
What I intended to post here is Jason is spot on with his comments on the skyway bridge. It is an absolute joke that it is not completed by now. They are building houses on some of the land that was intended for that bridge. How convenient.
Last edited by roach on Fri Sep 08, 2017 1:16 pm; edited 1 time in total
Posts: 4300
Location: 212 Miles too far to the West
Location: 212 Miles too far to the West
Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:08 pm
Last update has Irma moving up the east coast of Fl and then it looks like SC or NC could be seriously impacted
Please pay attention to this one!
If anyone needs help, I am in Charlotte but am willing to drive and help where needed
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Squid Row III - Grady White 258 Walk Around, 225 HP Yamaha
Flounder Pounder II - 16 Sandpiper Skiff, 40 HP Yamaha
Please pay attention to this one!
If anyone needs help, I am in Charlotte but am willing to drive and help where needed
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Squid Row III - Grady White 258 Walk Around, 225 HP Yamaha
Flounder Pounder II - 16 Sandpiper Skiff, 40 HP Yamaha
Posts: 605
Location: The LA
Location: The LA
Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:26 pm
Looking like a Hugo-like scenario now. Charleston is in the crosshairs, then Charlotte.
Posts: 652
Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:27 pm
Looks like I'm driving down Friday afternoon and hauling the boat back home. Should have just done it Monday but was hoping this thing would go elsewhere.
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24 Seahunt 250 Yamaha Holden Beach/Albemarle NC
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24 Seahunt 250 Yamaha Holden Beach/Albemarle NC
Posts: 567
Location: Winston Salem
Location: Winston Salem
Wed Sep 06, 2017 4:42 pm
| bigjohnnc wrote: |
| Looks like I'm driving down Friday afternoon and hauling the boat back home. Should have just done it Monday but was hoping this thing would go elsewhere. |
I debated on bringing mine back as well and like you, was hoping for a different turnout. My current situation...left yadkin county 30 minutes ago after a 9 hour work day to make the 5 hour journey to morehead to get the boat then turn right back around and head back to yadkin so i can be at work at 6 in the morning. Its going to be a looooong night
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23\' Winner Cuddy Sport 225HP Honda
Posts: 709
Location: Elm City
Location: Elm City
Wed Sep 06, 2017 5:07 pm
Yeah, I may be going to MHC and bringing mine home. Better safe than sorry. Plus, I'll have 120 gallons of ethanol free for the generator if I need it. This one looks BAD....y'a'll stay safe out there east of me!!!
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LookinToHookem
Albemarle 247 Express
www.militaryappreciationday.net
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LookinToHookem
Albemarle 247 Express
www.militaryappreciationday.net
Posts: 153
Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:57 pm
I left mine there last year through Matthew and told myself never again. Mine is home here in Davie County were it will stay for now. My luck is my shed will blow down here. Y'all be safe out there.
Posts: 117
Location: Elon/Holden Beach
Location: Elon/Holden Beach
Wed Sep 06, 2017 8:03 pm
If it keeps tracking west (per latest models), mine is staying on the rack.
Posts: 4196
Location: Johnston County, NC
Location: Johnston County, NC
Wed Sep 06, 2017 8:08 pm
I don't know where it's going. My guess from a week ago is the same now. Even if they were forecasting it to stay 100 miles off our coast I would prob go get my stuff as strong as this storm is. Also, anyone remember a storm named Matthew that up to 12 hours before it took a hard left into NC the forecasters had it going hard right for days? It caught us on out heels inland and the rest is history.
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Matador
2200 NauticStar Tournament
You can lead a horse to water but you cant make him THINK.
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Matador
2200 NauticStar Tournament
You can lead a horse to water but you cant make him THINK.
Posts: 215
Location: Greensboro, NC
Location: Greensboro, NC
Wed Sep 06, 2017 8:12 pm
| crashenoch wrote: |
| If it keeps tracking west (per latest models), mine is staying on the rack. |
How would it impact the triad area if it did stay on the track of the eye coming over the area? I'd imagine it would die down quite a bit.
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2006 Key West 268 Bluewater
2004 Grizzly 1648
Posts: 709
Location: Elm City
Location: Elm City
Wed Sep 06, 2017 8:45 pm
Posts: 215
Location: Greensboro, NC
Location: Greensboro, NC
Wed Sep 06, 2017 8:50 pm
| LookinToHookem wrote: |
| Remember Hugo? |
I've heard of Hugo but did not get to experience any of it since it hit the year before I was born (or atleast according to google it hit in 1989).
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2006 Key West 268 Bluewater
2004 Grizzly 1648
Posts: 279
Location: Ocean isle beach/murrells inlet
Location: Ocean isle beach/murrells inlet
Wed Sep 06, 2017 9:05 pm
I work with a lot of different state agencies/first responders and quite a few of SC personnel were dispatched to Hilton Head and Beaufort last night. Others that were staying in Georgetown county were told to get ready for a significant impact south of Charleston. A fellow walked in to our gun shop in Pawleys Island today to buy his wife a present. He got a call while in the shop from a friend whose wife works for the national weather service. He was told to be careful because the buzz with the weather folks said Charelston will be ground zero with a hell of a storm. He didnt know if charleston would get the northern part of the storm or a direct hit. Humm..... all of this sounds like a Savanah to strike to me. The spaghetti models relaligned at the 5pm update and they were concentrated at the Ga/SC line! Hugo hit Sullivan's island as a 3 and smoked south of myrtle, garden city/ murrells inlet/Pawleys island with the surge and wind. Man I hope it stays a good bit south of charleston or I might paddling my kayak inland come monday/tuesday. Evacuation lanes in SC will be turned Saturday to allow traffic to get out of dodge. Hopefully the state is just nervous because of the simular Hugo conditions/memories? Or Mathew last year? I highly doubt it. Looks like we are in for a wild ride. Hopefully Miami slows this bad lady down before she comes to see us. Yall be safe!
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27 cape horn
17 key largo
THJ Custom Rod Works
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27 cape horn
17 key largo
THJ Custom Rod Works
Posts: 709
Location: Elm City
Location: Elm City
Wed Sep 06, 2017 10:09 pm
| NCoutdoorsman90 wrote: | ||
I've heard of Hugo but did not get to experience any of it since it hit the year before I was born (or atleast according to google it hit in 1989). |
Oh😳 Hugo tore up from Pawleys Island to the NC mountains. I remember going down to Myrtle months later and miles and miles of pines down or twisted way inland. Unreal how strong it stayed.
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LookinToHookem
Albemarle 247 Express
www.militaryappreciationday.net
Posts: 605
Location: The LA
Location: The LA
Thu Sep 07, 2017 9:45 am
Looking at the model runs and the projected track this morning, it looks like the eye is tracking north and east of track over the last few hours. If the eye never passes over land in Florida, as is looking more and more likely, this beast is going to be over the Gulf Stream as a Cat 4 or 5. I dont see how it would weaken very much if that were the case. If I lived south of about Myrtle Beach, there is no way I'd try to ride this one out.
The momentum and shear amount of energy contained in a hurricane like this is going to carry WELL inland. I work with guys who saw the eye of Hugo go over Rock Hill with 70-80 mph winds, and Hugo wasn't in this class of storm. Should Irma hit as a 4 or 5, and cut through SC, I would expect major damage, especially as much rain as we've had this year I'd expect trees down everywhere.
God bless everyone.
The momentum and shear amount of energy contained in a hurricane like this is going to carry WELL inland. I work with guys who saw the eye of Hugo go over Rock Hill with 70-80 mph winds, and Hugo wasn't in this class of storm. Should Irma hit as a 4 or 5, and cut through SC, I would expect major damage, especially as much rain as we've had this year I'd expect trees down everywhere.
God bless everyone.
Posts: 38
Thu Sep 07, 2017 1:27 pm
I was at State when Fran came through in '96. We had gusts pushing 90 mph in Raleigh. It was no joke.
Got family in N. Myrtle and they are preparing as if it's Hugo Part II. This one is no joke. Be careful out there.
Got family in N. Myrtle and they are preparing as if it's Hugo Part II. This one is no joke. Be careful out there.
Posts: 2069
Thu Sep 07, 2017 7:39 pm
| jasonafox wrote: |
|
Every hack politician and land developer that sabotaged the Cape Fear Skyway needs to stay their greedy asses behind until EVERYONE else gets out of town. |
Posts: 2601
Location: Carolina Beach
Location: Carolina Beach
Fri Sep 08, 2017 12:50 pm
After an exhausting 16 hour drive yesterday from ft lauderdale I am back in Wilmington. Eating wings and drinking beer at the dive. Life is good.
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
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Larry R.
Sadie J
larryrowland@cecable.com
704-488-6607
Posts: 830
Location: Morehead City, NC
Location: Morehead City, NC
Fri Sep 08, 2017 3:55 pm
| lwr37 wrote: |
| After an exhausting 16 hour drive yesterday from ft lauderdale I am back in Wilmington. Eating wings and drinking beer at the dive. Life is good. |
Good! Under the circumstances, you did made pretty good time. Stupid question, do you have to go back??
Posts: 605
Location: The LA
Location: The LA
Sat Sep 09, 2017 9:55 am
I'm glad I was wrong on my last forecast, but some really pretty places are about to get tore up. Floridians are pretty hardened, but folks in Atlanta are not going to be ready for the power of nature they are about to experience.
Sea story alert!!!
I was stationed onboard the USS Maryland SSBN 738 in Kings Bay, GA way back when. I don't remember the storm, but it was a run of the mill hurricane. We were dry docked, with MAJOR overhaul going on. Lots of seawater valves completely disassembled, about 20 days into a 60 day refit, so you can imagine. The powers that be decided you guys gotta get out of here or risk being knocked off the blocks in the dry dock and sink your boat in the dry dock, so they slapped that boat back together, repairs be damned, sent us out about 200 miles, and limited our depth to 400 ft so the seawater valves wouldn't pop off the walls. For 4 days, we sat at 400 ft and that 18000 TON, 560 ft long boat took 30 degree rolls. I've never seen so much vomiting in my life. I can't remember the storm name, but it was a CAT 1 or 2 at most. The power of mother nature is absolutely unreal.
Sea story alert!!!
I was stationed onboard the USS Maryland SSBN 738 in Kings Bay, GA way back when. I don't remember the storm, but it was a run of the mill hurricane. We were dry docked, with MAJOR overhaul going on. Lots of seawater valves completely disassembled, about 20 days into a 60 day refit, so you can imagine. The powers that be decided you guys gotta get out of here or risk being knocked off the blocks in the dry dock and sink your boat in the dry dock, so they slapped that boat back together, repairs be damned, sent us out about 200 miles, and limited our depth to 400 ft so the seawater valves wouldn't pop off the walls. For 4 days, we sat at 400 ft and that 18000 TON, 560 ft long boat took 30 degree rolls. I've never seen so much vomiting in my life. I can't remember the storm name, but it was a CAT 1 or 2 at most. The power of mother nature is absolutely unreal.
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